Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.502286 0.558255 0.618666 0.688843 0.768280 0.855586 0.959051
2025-04-06 0.409645 0.485706 0.574095 0.684935 0.820954 0.983371 1.193401
2025-04-13 0.345533 0.426999 0.526288 0.657200 0.826735 1.040874 1.335001
2025-04-20 0.313570 0.400990 0.511841 0.664301 0.871006 1.145061 1.541888
2025-04-27 0.288994 0.380503 0.500545 0.671791 0.913466 1.247918 1.755638
2025-05-04 0.268394 0.362549 0.489815 0.677365 0.951753 1.346521 1.972360
2025-05-11 0.249869 0.345312 0.477820 0.678901 0.982868 1.436052 2.183943
2025-05-18 0.235902 0.332999 0.471213 0.686810 1.022976 1.541509 2.431057
2025-05-25 0.217323 0.312364 0.450570 0.671321 1.024882 1.586676 2.583889
2025-06-01 0.207480 0.303755 0.446840 0.681020 1.066648 1.698647 2.861454
2025-06-08 0.195050 0.290225 0.434431 0.675612 1.082757 1.768883 3.073119
2025-06-15 0.186421 0.281869 0.429279 0.681198 1.117195 1.872910 3.357895
2025-06-22 0.174944 0.268453 0.415441 0.671725 1.125717 1.933715 3.572166
2025-06-29 0.165506 0.257691 0.405146 0.667412 1.142909 2.011954 3.831181
2025-07-06 0.152586 0.240410 0.382903 0.640518 1.116614 2.006141 3.918446
2025-07-13 0.147045 0.234951 0.380009 0.647411 1.153049 2.123168 4.277098
2025-07-20 0.141996 0.229967 0.377515 0.654683 1.190626 2.245976 4.665045
2025-07-27 0.137007 0.224749 0.374215 0.660095 1.224882 2.365362 5.062095
2025-08-03 0.131753 0.218740 0.369089 0.661587 1.251316 2.471032 5.442427
2025-08-10 0.127801 0.214768 0.367315 0.669265 1.290841 2.608488 5.919200
2025-08-17 0.120823 0.205003 0.354402 0.654227 1.281792 2.638791 6.134890
2025-08-24 0.117727 0.202068 0.353875 0.663644 1.325243 2.790827 6.684535
2025-08-31 0.112859 0.195618 0.346372 0.658393 1.336435 2.870059 7.054708